YouGov poll predicts 27% drop in Maldon Tory vote share ahead of election

By Chloe Brewster 18th Jun 2024

Despite the drop, incumbent Tory MP Sir John Whittingdale, is still predicted to win the seat by a significant majority. (Photo: John Whittingdale)
Despite the drop, incumbent Tory MP Sir John Whittingdale, is still predicted to win the seat by a significant majority. (Photo: John Whittingdale)

Poll predictions suggest that Maldon MP Sir John Whittingdale will hold his seat at the General Election on July 4, but by a significantly reduced majority.

The latest YouGov poll has projected a 44.6% vote share for the Conservatives in Maldon, a 27% drop in the share received in the 2019 election.

The poll, last updated on June 13, predicts Labour will receive a 28.9% share, followed by Reform with 14%, Liberal Democrats with 7.2%, and the Green Party with 4.5% in July's vote.

If reflected on Election Day, it would mean the lowest vote share incumbent MP Sir John Whittingdale has received since 1997.

This reflects a trend nationally, with predictions suggesting the Conservatives will lose over 200 seats, with around 18% of people saying they will vote Conservative.

Sir John polled 36,304 votes in 2019, receiving a 72% share of the vote.

It was a close run for second, with Labour's Stephen Capper getting 6,263 (12.4%) and the Lib Dems' Colin Baldy 5,990 (11.9%).

Janet Band for the Greens got 1,851 (3.7%).

You can find information on everyone running for election in Maldon, as well as information on their party's policies, here.

     

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